It's game 5 between the No. 5 seed
Orlando Magic
(47-35, 18-23 away) and No. 4 seed
Cleveland Cavaliers( 48-34, 26-15 home). With the series tied 2-2, it's been an uneventful, low scoring series. With both teams getting victories at home, the Cavaliers will get another shot at a game 5 tonight in Cleveland. The best of seven games, each team will look to take a 3-2 series lead.
?
?(Photo by Chris Coduto/Getty Images)
Favored by a five point spread at home, the Cavaliers are coming of two straight losses on the road vs. Orlando. Limited under 90 points in two consecutive outings, Cleveland hasn't been able to find any offensive groove. Their offensive woos continued in game three, shooting 39 percent from the field, and 23.5 percent from beyond the arc. Defeated 112-89 in their last meeting, the Cavaliers shot just 23.5 percent from downtown.
With a 26-15 record at home this season, the Cavaliers haven't had an explosive offensive game yet. Averaging 96.5 points in two games at home, it seems home court advantage greatly affects both teams. I'm not sure if this is a coincidence, however, the away team on either side, hasn't scored more than 89 points. Conversely, the Magic and Cavaliers average 96 points or higher on the road. While the trajectory is heading in the Cavaliers favor, there are statistics and trends that we must look into.
With tip-off set to take place at 8:00 p.m. ET, the Magic will head into this matchup with a clean bill of health. Unfortunately for the Cavaliers, they have four players listed on the injury report. With Craig Porter, Dean Wade, and Ty Jerome all listed as out, center Jarrett Allen is questionable with a right contusion.
The Magic won the last two games vs. Cleveland
In game 4, we saw a breakout performance from Magic wingman Franz Wagner. With an exceptional 34 point, 13 rebounds, 4 assist performance, tonight's outcome will heavily be influenced by his performance, along with Paolo Banchero. Last meeting, Banchero poured in just nine points, on 4-14 field goal shooting. With such depth on their bench, we saw rookies and bottom rotation players get some minutes over the last two games, including Anthony Black, Jett Howard, Caleb Houstan, and Joe Ingles.
For the Cavaliers, Darius Garland will the ultimate x-factor tonight, along with Donovan Mitchell. Garland, who averaged 26.7 points per game in three regular season games against Orlando, completely disappeared in game three. Mitchell, who's averaged 27.3 points against the Magic this season, hasn't scored over 18 points since game two. It's going to take more than these two stars to pull out a win against Orlando's defense.
Let's dive into how to bet on tonight's game, where I've compiled all the necessary data, odds, and statistics to facilitate informed betting predictions for Tuesday, Apr. 30.
GAME 5: ORLANDO MAGIC VS. CLEVELAND CAVALIERS FAN DUEL ODDS FOR APR. 30
MONEY LINE
- ORLANDO MAGIC: +168
- CLEVELAND CAVALIERS:-200
SPREAD
- ORLANDO MAGIC: +5 (-110)
- CLEVELAND CAVALIERS: -5 (-110)
OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)
- OVER: 201.5 (-110)
- UNDER: 201.5 (-110)
BEST ODDS FOR ORLANDO MAGIC VS. CLEVELAND CAVALIERS GAME 5
- Caesars currently has the best Cleveland Cavaliers money line odds at -200
- The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5.5 point favorites against the Orlando Magic . BetMGM currently has the best odds currently at (-115)
- The Orlando Magic are the underdogs by 5.5 points to cover the spread tonight. DraftKings currently has the best odds at -108 for Orlando to cover the spread.
- BetMGM currently has the best odds for the total, which is set at -110 for the over and -110 for the under (201.5)
Use FanDuel Promo on Magic vs. Cavaliers matchup: Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins
- User-friendly mobile app & website
- Low cost spreads
- Highly competitive odds
ORLANDO MAGIC VS. CLEVELAND CAVALIERS INJURY REPORT
ORLANDO MAGIC? INJURY REPORT
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS INJURY REPORT
- G: CRAIG PORTER, OUT: ANKLE
- G: TY JEROME, OUT: ANKLE
- F: DEAN WAGE, OUT: KNEE
- C, JARRETT ALLEN, QUESTIONABLE: RIBS
ORLANDO MAGIC POST-SEASON STATISTICS & BETTING TRENDS
- *ATS = Against the Spread
- *O/U = Over/Under
- Best out of 16 current playoff teams
Last 5 Games 3-2
Last 10 Games 4-6
Season ATS Record 53-33-0
Season O/U Record 38-48-0
Last 5 Games ATS 3-2
Last 10 Games ATS 4-6
Last 5 Games O/U 1-4
Last 10 Games O/U 5-5
Offensive Rating (Rank) 107.5 (13)
Defensive Rating (Rank) 96. 8 (2)
Points Per Game (Rank) 100.5 (13)
Pace (Rank) 93.88 (T-7)
Opponent Points Per Game (Rank) 95.3 (3)
Three-Point Percentage (Rank) 31.1 % (12)
Rebounds Per Game (Rank) 42.8 (6)
Last 10 Games ATS Wins: Chicago (-7.5), Milwaukee (-6), Cleveland (-3, -2.5)
?
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS POST-SEASON STATISTICS & BETTING TRENDS
- *ATS = Against the Spread
- *O/U = Over/Under
- Best out of 16 current playoff teams
Last 5 Games 2-3
Last 10 Games 4-6
Season ATS Record 40-46-0
Season O/U Record 41-44-1
Last 5 Games ATS 2-3
Last 10 Games ATS 4-6
Last 5 Games O/U 2-3
Last 10 Games O/U 4-6
Offensive Rating (Rank) 96.8 (15)
Defensive Rating (Rank) 107.5 (4)
Points Per Game (Rank) 91.3 (15)
Pace (Rank) 93.88 (T-7)
Opponent Points Per Game (Rank) 100.5 (4)
Three-Point Percentage (Rank) 26.7 (T-16)
Rebounds Per Game (Rank) 40.8 (11)
Last 10 Games ATS Wins: LA Clippers (+4), Indiana (-2.5), Orlando (-5.5, -5.5)
HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS: MAGIC VS. CAVALIERS
Season Matchups:
- Game 1: Cleveland 121, Orlando 111 (Cleveland -4.5, Over 225.5)
- Game 2: Orlando 104, Cleveland 94 (Orlando -2.5, Under 225.5)
- Game 3: Cleveland 126, Orlando 99 (Cleveland -2.5, Over 215)
- Game 4: Orlando 116, Cleveland 109 (Orlando +5.5, Over 214)
- Game 1 Playoffs: Cleveland 97, Orlando 83 (Cleveland -5.5, Under 206.5)
- Game 2 Playoffs: Cleveland 96, Orlando 86 (Cleveland -5.5, Under 205)
- Game 3 Playoffs: Orlando 121, Cleveland 83 (Orlando -3, Over 202)
- Game 4 Playoffs: Orlando 112, Cleveland 89 (Orlando -2.5, Under 202)
In search of further betting promotions for sports? We have compiled a?list of the best sports betting offers.
SPREAD: MAGIC +5.5 (-108 DRAFTKINGS)
If i'm being honest, this was an incredibly difficult game to bet on. According the ESPN, the Cavaliers have a 64.1 percent of winning this game, and I am full fading the public today. Sure, the Cavaliers and Magic are both 2-0 at home in the series. However, the lack of offensive production from the Cavaliers in games three and four were outright concerning. While I'll say Cleveland has the more veterans and playoff experience, Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland have disappeared enough for me to full fade the Cavaliers.
It's been apparent that home court advantage has been beneficial for both teams. Orlando was held to an average of 84.5 points per game, and their offense was abysmal in their first two road losses. Outside of Paolo Banchero with 24 points, the Magic couldn't get the offensive flowing behind him. After losing the paint and rebound battle, the Magic have certainly come alive over the last few games.
The Cavaliers are 2-0 vs. Magic at home in the playoffs
I get it, the Cavaliers and Magic both have had their way with home court. However, I do believe the +5.5 point spread is slightly disrespectful for the Magic and here's why. Is Cleveland favored based on home court advantage? If so, they have a 20-22-0 home record against the spread on the season, and 40-46-0 spread record on the year. For the Magic, they've been incredible in covering spreads, holding a 53-33-0 record. In addition, they have a record of 23-20 record covering the spreads on the road.
Now that we've covered all of the betting stats, let's breakdown the defensive prowess of of the Magic. Regardless of their 0-2 start, the Magic are second in the playoffs with 91.3 opponent points per game. Not only did they blow out the Cavaliers, they built up a 61 point differential in their last two wins. 15-15 against the spread as underdogs on the road, the Magic have all of the momentum heading into tonight's meeting.
They Magic have a 61 point differential over the last two games
I'm confident in the points tonight, especially since the games have been extremely low scoring. Given Orlando is shooting 40 percent from deep in the last two games, Franz Wagner's breakout game was enough to turn heads. Plus, the production off the bench is something most playoff teams don't have. While I don't believe Orlando will keep up with such a high shooting percentage, they are leading Cleveland in the series by almost 10 points per game, and average almost four boards more. In fact, Orlando did steal a victory on the road, 116-109 against the Cavaliers back in February. The irony? They were underdogs by 5.5 points.
For Cleveland, I want to trust Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell. They are the main catalyst behind this teams success, and they've simply been too streaky for me to trust them. Outside of Clevelands backcourt, their bench has been non existent. If Garland and Mitchell can get going, it would take both LeVert and Merrill to rally behind them. Even with Jarrett Allen stepping it up for Cleveland, they simply haven't had the offensive firepower. Along with that, Cleveland hasn't exactly excelled in guarding the three-point line this season. Both teams have incredible backcourts, which makes these series so even.
The Cavaliers are 16-17-1 ATS as home favorites
Overall, we've yet to see a true playoff game between these two teams. With both squads performing drastically different on the road, it's truly difficult to trust either team. If there's one reason I'm betting on the Magic, it's been their heralded defense, and their ability to pick apart Cleveland's on the defensive end.? Although they weren't the best shooting team beyond the arc, Orlando shot a decent clip from mid range this season ( 55 %). The Cavaliers have a record of 16-17-1 record against the spread as home favorites. Give me the points tonight, and even the Magic to possibly win this game outright.
?
www.ebooksnet.com
