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February 15 expert picks: Best bets for NBA action before the All-Star weekend

Publish Date: 02/15/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe
Key Points
  • With just three NBA games left before All-Star Weekend, today marks the final opportunity to place bets before the big event in Indianapolis.
  • Jordan Clarkson is poised for a favorable matchup against the Golden State Warriors tonight.
  • Tonight's game against Utah presents an opportunity for Golden State to seek redemption.

Top NBA Betting Picks Ahead of the All-Star Break for Thursday, February 15

With NBA All-Star weekend on the horizon, three games signify the midpoint of the season. If you're seeking daily NBA betting opportunities, you've come to the right place. Sara Jane will kick things off by providing game odds, trends, statistics, and analysis to assist you in making informed decisions regarding whom and what to bet on.

If you're considering placing bets on basketball, there's a limited schedule of games before the All-Star break. The struggling Milwaukee Bucks (25-20, 12-13 away) will face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (19-36, 6-20) in a primetime clash on the road.

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors (26-26, 12-12 away) will meet the Utah Jazz (26-29, 17-9 home) in the second game of back-to-back matchups.

Wrapping up the pre-break action, the struggling Portland Trail Blazers (15-38, 9-16 home) will host the Minnesota Timberwolves (38-16, 19-11) at home.

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Sara Jane has gathered the finest odds from numerous legal sportsbooks for your convenience.?Let's make this Thursday unforgettable by securing some winning NBA bets!

That being stated, here are her preferred NBA wagers that are set for Thursday, Feb. 15, all taken as straight bets.

Odds are current as of Feb. 15, at 12 p.m. ET.

SJ's NBA record for the month of February via Juice Reel: 27-30 +15.2 units?

DAILY NBA MATCHUP ODDS FOR FEB 15

Matchup Spread Over/Under
Milwaukee Bucks @ Memphis Grizzlies MIL: +9.5 222.5
Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz UTA: +2 239.5
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Portland Trail Blazers POR: +9 214

BEST PLAYER PROP BET: JORDAN CLARKSON

Season Stats

Metric PPG FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK
Value 17.4 41.5 % 30.1 % 88 % 3.4 4.8 0.6 0.1

KEY STATS

  • Clarkson is averaging 14.6 points, 3.9 assists, and 2.3 rebounds over the last 10 games
  • The Jazz guard is fresh off a 17-point performance against the Lakers, shooting at 37.5 percent from beyond the arc
  • Clarkson proves to be productive at home, boasting an average of 19.9 points per game and shooting 35.7 percent from three-point range, with a 31.5-point average
  • The Warriors have permitted the last four consecutive guards to surpass their points prop

Jordan Clarkson, the former 2020-2021 NBA Sixth Man of the Year, continues to shine brightly this season as a key player off the bench for the Utah Jazz. With a matchup against the Golden State Warriors on the second half of a back-to-back, Clarkson presents excellent value at -128 on FanDuel. This line is lower than his season average, making it an enticing opportunity, especially given the favorable matchup against the Warriors tonight.

Golden State, under the leadership of head coach Steve Kerr, currently rank 30th defensively against guards and allow the 20th most points per game in the NBA (117.8). Furthermore, they permit the 25th most free-throw attempts per game, averaging 24.3. This stat is particularly advantageous for Clarkson, who frequently draws fouls and capitalizes from the free-throw line.

JORDAN CLARKSON FANDUEL ODDS

  • Over 16.5 points (-128 FanDuel)

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Jordan Clarkson is widely regarded as one of the top sixth men in the NBA

Renowned as one of the premier bench players in the league, Clarkson currently holds the 5th position in total points scored among bench players and ranks 4th overall in minutes per game, boasting an average of 29.5 minutes on the court.

With that being said, he ranks among the top ten sixth men in the league with an average of 3.9 free-throw attempts per game and holds the 3rd position overall in field goal attempts, averaging 14.8 shots per game.

The Warriors are also on the second half of a back-to-back, during which they've allowed several players to surpass their prop bets this month. Notably, guards such as Russell Westbrook, Terance Mann, Collin Sexton, James Harden, Norman Powell, Talen Horton-Tucker, and Devin Booker have all exceeded their points totals against the Warriors this week.

Furthermore, Golden State has conceded the over in scoring to eight consecutive players since February 12th. Though an improvement from last year, the Warriors still rank 20th in defensive rating (116.3) and surrender nearly 121 points per game to opponents.

Considering the Jazz rank 11th in scoring with an average of 117.7 points per game, Clarkson appears poised to comfortably surpass this prop bet.

Visit our Betting News Section often to stay abreast of all the latest developments. We have compiled all the updates in one place for your convenience.

JORDAN CLARKSON STATS VS. THE WARRIORS

With a 51 percent hit rate for the season, Clarkson has achieved two consecutive games with over 16.5 points. However, the statistics indicate that this isn't a particularly strong hit, especially considering it has only gone over in three out of ten games. However, let's break down his stats vs. the Warriors over the last 4 games:

Date Opponent Points
11/25/22 GSW 21
12/7/22 GSW 22
12/28/22 22 22
2/12/24 GSW 22

There seems to be something about the number 22. Even though his stats date back to 2022, Clarkson has consistently demonstrated his ability to score over 16.5 points against the Warriors on multiple occasions.

Acknowledging the limited sample size, the guard notably notched 22 points against Golden State last Monday, showcasing an impressive 57.1 percent shooting from beyond the arc and 41.2 percent from the field. In that matchup, he matched Lauri Markkanen with a team-high 17 field goal attempts. Despite playing for 33 minutes, Clarkson managed seven 3-point attempts and earned four trips to the free-throw line.

In total, Jordan Clarkson has averaged 15.7 points over 29 career games against the Warriors. However, his recent performances have been even more impressive, with averages of 17.3 points and 32.3 minutes, on 14.3 field goal attempts per game. This prop bet is particularly appealing due to his significant shot volume off the bench, consistent minutes, and favorable matchup against a mediocre defense.

BEST MONEY LINE BET: GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS ML

Category Statistics
Team Golden State Warriors
Last 5 Games 4-1
Last 10 Games 7-3
ATS Record 26-24-0
O/U Record 29-23-0
Win/Loss Record 26-25
Last 5 Games ATS 4-1
Last 10 Games ATS 7-3
Last 5 Games O/U 1-4-0
Last 10 Games O/U 3-7-0
Offensive Rating (Rank) 117.6 (10th)
Defensive Rating (Rank) 116.3 (20th)
Points Per Game (Rank) 119.3 (6th)
Pace (Rank) 100.21 (12th)
Opponent Points Per Game (Rank) 117.8 (21st)
Three-Point Percentage (Rank) 35.6% (23rd)
Rebounds Per Game (Rank) 46.9 (2nd)
Last 10 Games ATS Wins 76ers (-2, -3), Grizzlies (-7.5), Nets (-1), Pacers (+6), Suns (+1.5), Jazz (-1)
Category Statistics
Team Utah Jazz
Last 5 Games 2-3
Last 10 Games 4-6
ATS Record 31-24-0
O/U Record 31-23-1
Win/Loss Record 26-29
Last 5 Games ATS 2-3
Last 10 Games ATS 4-6
Last 5 Games O/U 2-3
Last 10 Games O/U 6-4
Offensive Rating (Rank) 115.5 (16th)
Defensive Rating (Rank) 118.5 (25th)
Points Per Game (Rank) 117.7 (11th)
Pace (Rank) 100.75 (9th)
Opponent Points Per Game (Rank) 120.4 (25th)
Three-Point Percentage (Rank) 37.9% (6th)
Rebounds Per Game (Rank) 46.5 (3rd)
Last 10 Games ATS Wins Wizards (-7.5), Hornets (-10), Bucks (-2.5), Thunder (+3)

GOLDEN STATE MONEY LINE ODDS: -125 DRAFTKINGS

Steph Curry is entering tonight's game against Utah following a historic performance in a heartbreaking 130-125 loss against the Los Angeles Clippers last night at home. With a record of 26-25 for the season, the Warriors will face off against the Utah Jazz (26-29) in their third matchup of the season.

In the last matchup against the Jazz on Tuesday, Curry once again made history, ascending to 41st on the all-time NBA assists list.

Curry, at 35 years old, concluded the game with an impressive 41 points, shooting 15-31 from the field (48.4%) and 9-19 from beyond the arc (47.4%) in 35 minutes of play. Remarkably, in his 15th season, Curry has become the first player in NBA history to make 7 or more 3-pointers in four consecutive games. As a core member of All-Star weekend, I can't see the Warriors taking another L before the big weekend.

While the Golden State Warriors opted for complacency during the trade deadline, the Utah Jazz were relatively active. With the return of Draymond Green, Golden State has achieved a record of 7-3 in their last 10 games. On the other hand, the Jazz have experienced 6 losses in their last 10 games. In addition, Utah suffered three consecutive losses to the Lakers, Warriors, and Suns.

Despite facing a tumultuous season, the Golden State Warriors have managed to regroup. Particularly in the month of February, they have shifted the narrative, especially in terms of defense. At the midway point of the month, they continue to rank as a top 10 team in both offensive and defensive rating.

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The Jazz have struggled throughout the month of February

On the other hand, the Jazz have plummeted to the bottom of the league in terms of defensive efficiency, while holding a mid-level position in offense. After a disappointing 138-122 loss against the Lakers, Utah ended the night shooting below 50 percent from both the field and beyond the arc. Despite coming off a back-to-back, the Jazz still trail the Warriors by 1.5 games for the 10th seed in the Western Conference. Although both teams may be fatigued, this matchup holds significance heading into the weekend.

Utah boasts some talented pieces, with star Lauri Markkanen leading the pack. However, just when it seems they're on the rise, they often experience collapses and consecutive losses. On the other hand, despite the Warriors' loss on Wednesday, they have finally regained their health and are back in contention.

At 12-12 on the road, Golden State possesses a formidable roster surrounding Steph Curry, capable of defeating the Jazz. In their recent game, rookie Brandin Podziemski and Curry combined for an impressive 66 points, while Kuminga, Wiggins, and Thompson all contributed double-digit scoring totals. This balanced scoring attack underscores the Warriors' depth and potential to overcome the Jazz.

The Warriors have historically dominated the Jazz

Overall, the Warriors have dominated their recent matchups against Utah, boasting an 8-2 record in their last 10 meetings. Having secured victories in their last two encounters, Golden State clinched a convincing 120-107 win over the Jazz on Feb. 12, making their recent success against Utah quite notable. With a 1-0 series lead, these two teams will face off three more times, including two times in April.

For Utah, navigating through a challenging schedule has been no easy feat. Including tonight's matchup, their last 10 games will feature 30 percent of games played without any rest.

Given Utah's recent defensive struggles, particularly evidenced by allowing the Lakers to shoot a high percentage from three-point range at 45.2 percent, it's understandable why trust in their performance might be lacking. If I'm trusting anyone its Steph Curry and the Warriors. Averaging 33.9 points in the last 10 games, Curry and Golden State went on a five-game win streak this month.

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