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WNBA All-Star: 3-Point Contest Odds and Predictions for Friday, July 19

Publish Date: 07/18/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe
Key Points
  • Kayla McBride is the favorite to win the WNBA 3-point contest with +250 odds
  • Jonquel Jones has the highest odds at +410 to win the contest

WNBA All-Star Weekend is officially underway, and there's a highly anticipated 3-point showdown, along with the skills challenge this Friday. Taken place in Phoenix, Arizona, only five elite shooters will compete for the trophy.

While we can't forget Sabrina Ionescu's earth-shattering, record-breaking 37 points in last year's contest, the WNBA has high hopes for a competitive outing this weekend.

?(Photo by Cooper Neill/NBAE via Getty Images)

Slated to start at 9 pm ET, the contestants will compete in two rounds, with five central shooting locations placed outside the arc. Similar to last year, each rack will include one money ball, which is worth two points.

  • The fifth rack will consist of all "money balls."

In addition, the WNBA brings back the "Starry Range" deep shots, which are worth three points. If you're betting on the WNBA 3-point contest, the event will be timed, giving shooters a limited time to compete around the arc.

Friday's competitive 3-point shooting event will include Stefanie Dolson of the Washington Mystics and Jonquel Jones of the New York Liberty.

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Atlanta Dream's Allisha Gray and Minnesota Lynx's Kayla McBride will also compete for the trophy in the backcourt. Last, newly acquired Marina Mabrey will represent the Connecticut Sun at this year's WNBA shootout.

While the absence of Caitlin Clark and Sabrina Ionescu leave bettors and fans irate, I would like to take a moment to remind you that all these athletes can shoot.

WNBA 3-POINT CONTEST ODDS ARE CURRENT AS OF JULY 18? AT 4 A.M. ET.

In search of further betting promotions for sports? We have compiled a?list of the best sports betting offers.

If you're inclined to bet on the WNBA festivities this weekend, all events will air on ESPN.

I've collected the best odds from a multitude of legal sportsbooks.

  • In anticipation of tonight's matchup, I've compiled all the statistics, analytics, and odds to provide my top predictions for the 3-point contest.

It's worth to note, all of my bets for the WNBA have been placed at FanDuel. In this article, I will include a list of the contestant odds and predictions for this year's WNBA 3-point contest.

WNBA 3-POINT CONTESTANTS: STEFANIE DOLSON, WASHINGTON MYSTICS

  • +340 (FanDuel)

STEFANIE DOLSON SEASON STATS

PPG: 10.4? | FG: 50.3 % | FT: 77.8 % | 3 PT %: 50 %|? REB: 4.9 | AST: 2.6 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 0.6

Stefanie Dolson finds herself in a familiar spot, signing a multi-year deal with the Washington Mystics, the team that drafted her in 2014 in the offseason.

  1. Now in her 11th WNBA season, Dolson sits atop of the WNBA standings in 3-point percent (50 %).
  2. A career 40.8 percent shooter from downtown, the former UConn Husky finds herself back in WNBA All-Star weekend action.

Although this came somewhat of a surprise, Dolson has what it takes to compete in the contest.

12th in the WNBA in three-pointers made with 2.1 per game, Dolson has been a bright spot on a youthful Mystics team, that's struggled for a majority of the season.

23rd in attempts from beyond the arc (4.2 per game), the Mystics center has proven to be a floor spacer among her decorated career. Averaging career highs beyond the arc, Dolson will get a crack at it Friday.

Dolson isn't the fastest, or the strongest player, however, she's a shooter, which has been proven over her career. After two years spent with the New York Liberty, the center is averaging the most minutes since her 2018 season with the Chicago Sky.

  • With second highest odds to win the competition at +340, she's shooting well over 50 percent from 20-24 feet, which is best percentage of any distance on the season.

Sharing the front court primarily with Myisha Hines-Allen, Dolson has received a good amount of looks in shot volume, considering Brittney Sykes and and Shakira have been limited to nine total games combined.

In a guard heavy lineup, the Mystics center has found herself as the teams premier stretch five, especially since rookie Aaliyah Edwards is strictly an inside big.

STEFANIE DOLSON HAS +340 ODDS TO WIN THE WNBA 3-POINT CONTEST

  1. Joining Jonquel Jones as the only front court members to participate in Friday's contest, Dolson remains on a Mystics team that leads the WNBA in the largest percentage of three-pointers per game (36.8 %).
  2. Although she's beside some fierce competitors, I like Dolsons odds at +380, especially given she's shooting 47.3 percent from beyond the arc through five games in July.

Although just 2-7 from deep in the last two matchups against the Phoenix Mercury and Las Vegas Aces, Dolson had several notorious three-point performances on the season, including 5-6 from downtown against the Aces on June 29.

Additionally, Dolson shot in improbable 56 percent from beyond the arc through the month of June. A career 44.4 percent from the corner throughout her career, look for Dolson to capitalize on the money ball rack, where she's shooting an incredible 76.9 percent from corner threes on the season.

Overall, Friday night will boil down to Dolsons endurance, and if she's able to hit to cash in on the starry long shots. Leading the pack in three-point percentage, Dolson has a viable shot and decent odds to win it all.

WNBA 3-POINT CONTESTANTS: JONQUEL JONES, NEW YORK LIBERTY

  • +410 odds (FanDuel)

JONQUEL JONES SEASON STATS

PPG: 15.6? | FG: 57.1 % | FT: 77.8 % | 3 PT %: 40.4 %|? REB: 9.2 | AST: 3.5 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 1.3

Making her third appearance, Jonquel Jones will represent the New York Liberty as a WNBA All-Star and three-point contestant. Now in her 8th WNBA season, Jones is averaging 40.6 percent from beyond the arc, her best percentages since the 2018 season with the Connecticut Sun.

A premier inside big and floor spacer, Jones has been a pleasure to watch alongside Breanna Stewart in the Liberty's front court.

  • With such a smooth release on the above the break threes, Jones long distance shots are up from last year, averaging 4.0 three point attempts and 1.6 deep shots made per game.
  • The def facto of Jones and Breanna Stewarts spacing is what makes the Liberty so lethal from the outside.

While Jones hasn't cracked the top 15 in terms of three point attempts, she's 6th in the league in 3-point percentage, behind competitors Kayla McBride and Dolson.

Averaging the most points in her Liberty career (15.6), Jones is part of an elite team, that ranks third in percentage of three-pointers per game (35.9 %). A career 50 percent shooter from the corner, Jones is shooting 60 percent from corner threes on the season.

JONQUEL JONES IS THE UNDERDOG AT +410 ODDS

While Jones remains of my my favorite players to watch in the WNBA, we don't normally vision her sitting in the corner knocking down deep shots. Typically seen from the hash or above the break, Jones has two of the greatest facilitators in the game, Courtney Vandersloot and Sabrina Ionescu.

Not taking anything from her game away, I don't particularly see Jones creating her shot as a fast paced. G

  • iven she's 6'6 and tallest candidate for the event, her long wing-span and length may give her the disadvantage against smaller shooters, especially since it is a timed event.

If you're looking to bet on the WNBA 3-point contest, Jones has the highest odds to win the competition at +410 odds. New to betting? This means she's the least favored out of the pack.

  • Then again, how can we forget her 2021 three-point contest appearance, where Allie Quigley out beat her by four points.

For the value at +410, don't be surprised if Jones makes a splash once again, especially since this isn't her first appearance.

While most of her long distance shots from above the break three, Jones is shooting equally 50 percent from both the left and right corner three.

WNBA 3-POINT CONTESTANTS: ALLISHA GRAY, ATLANTA DREAM

  • +360 odds (FanDuel)

ALLISHA GRAY SEASON STATS

PPG: 15.9? | FG: 42.9 % | FT: 76 % | 3 PT %: 36? %|? REB: 4.1 | AST: 3.5 | STL: 1.0 | BLK: 0.6

There's no doubt Atlanta Dream guard Allisha Gray has carried the team on her back, despite injury after injury.

  • Now in the 8th WNBA season, Gray has been efficient from the three-point line, shooting 36 percent.
  • With 4.8 three point attempts per game, the Dream guard is making 1.7 long shots, which puts her 17th in the WNBA standings.

With the third best odds to win the contest at +380 odds, Gray is slightly inconsistent at times. Voted as WNBA All-Star, Gray is a sneaky pick for the contest, especially with those odds.

  • If you watch and bet on the WNBA, she's one of the most versatile guards in the league.

Not only is she known for getting to the rim, Gray has a 35 percent three-point percentage from down town. A career 32.1 percent from corner threes, Gray is shooting well over 56 percent from there this season.

ALLISHA GRAY HAS +360 ODDS TO WIN THE WNBA 3-POINT CONTEST

While Gray might not be the most elite three point shooter in the contest, we've seen her erupt for a career-high 6 made three treys against the Aces on May 31.

Just 7-29 from deep in the month of July,? Gray has the quickness and athleticism to compete in this race. If you're betting on Gray, she doesn't have the highest percentage in terms of three point shooting, however, she's been a consistent scorer over her entire career.

  • With injuries to Rhyne Howard, Aerial Powers, and Jordin Canada, she leads the 7-17 Dream with 15.5 points per game.

I also love this pick, because although she shoots only 33.3 percent from above the break three, Gray is respectively shooting 66.7 percent from the left corner three, and 55.6 percent from the right corner three.

If you count those money balls, Gray could be a great option here with the odds.

WNBA 3-POINT CONTESTANTS: MARINA MABREY, CONNECTICUT SUN

  • +380 (FanDuel)

MARINA MABREY? SEASON STATS

PPG: 14? | FG: 38.2 % | FT: 72.7 % | 3 PT %: 34.4 %|? REB: 5.1 | AST: 4.6 | STL: 1.1 | BLK: 0.3

It wouldn't be WNBA All-Star weekend without a trade that shocked the entire basketball world. Now in her 6th season in the WNBA, Mabrey was traded to the Connecticut Sun Wednesday from the Chicago Sky.

A consistent scoring throughout her career, Mabrey is a sharp shooter, and isn't afraid to let it fly, especially from deep. However, her 34.4 three-point percentage is her lowest since the 2021 season with the Dallas Wings.

As we head into WNBA All-Star weekend, Mabrey has the fourth worst odds to win the contest at +380.

7th in three point attempts (6.7 per game), the guard is one of my dark horse winners for the three-point contest. Built with tenacity and fierceness, she's shown the true competitor she is, she ranks 8th in the WNBA in three-pointers made per game (2.3), and has the size to maneuver around the court quickly.

A key sharpshooter for Teresa Weatherspoon and the Chicago Sky, perhaps there will be some slight motivation following her trade request from Chicago. Either way, her percentages aren't anything to rave over. However, she's a shooters, and shooters shoot.

  • A career 40.2 percent three-point shooter from the corner, my only concern is her 39.1 percent from the corner, which contains the money ball rack.

Top ten in three-point attempts for the third time since 2021, I expect Mabrey to bring the competitiveness, even if she sports a Connecticut Sun jersey. If you're betting on the WNBA, Mabrey has also ranked top 10 in three seasons since 2021 in field goals made.

While she's not the favorite, perhaps she will give Suns a glimpse of what she can bring to the team. Shooting 33.3 percent from the right corner and above the break three, Mabrey shoots the best (50 percent) from the left corner.

WNBA 3-POINT CONTESTANTS: KAYLA MCBRIDE, MINNESOTA LYNX

  • +250 Odds (FanDuel)

KAYLA MCBRIDE SEASON STATS

PPG: 15.8? | FG: 43.9 % | FT: 91.8 % | 3 PT %: 42.4 %|? REB: 2.9 | AST: 3.5 | STL: 1.3 | BLK: 0.3

Kayla McBride is the heavy favorite to win the three-point contest tonight, and it's not hard see why. After signing a multi-year extension with the Minnesota Lynx in the offseason, McBride is one of the main reasons why the Lynx have soared in the standings.

  • Averaging 42.7 percent from three is .1 less than her career high in 2019, and the Lynx guard ranks 6th in the WNBA in three-point attempts (7.1), and second in three-pointers made (three per game).
  • Establishing herself in the top ten in three points made, McBride will enter her third three-point contest, which she previously participated in 2018 and 2019.

The WNBA leader in three-pointers made with 76, McBride is one of the more efficient above the break three-point shooters at 43.34 percent, and 50 percent from the left corner three.

Tearing up defense all season long, a majority of her three point shots are above the break, which hurt her chances when it comes to the money ball racks.

KAYLA MCBRIDE HAS +250 ODDS TO WIN THE WNBA 3-POINT CONTEST

McBride has been incredibly sensational, in fact her teammate Courtney Williams lightly tweeted she would bet on KMAC. Although illegal, it shows the faith that her teammates have in her, and the steps taken in growth as a player.

Leading the Lynx to their first ever Commissioners Cup title against the Liberty, we've seen McBridge torch the Storm, Dream, among several teams from long distance this season.

I normally don't pick the favorite to win it all, however, it's hard to ignore the excitement and rejuvination that Kayla McBride brings to the game. If you're betting on the WNBA three-point contest, +250 is still great value, even as the favorite to win it all.

FINAL PREDICTION AND BEST BETS FOR THE 2024 WNBA ALL-STAR 3-POINT CONTEST: KAYLA MCBRIDE +250

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