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WNBA best bets today: Top player prop bets for Tuesday, September 3

Publish Date: 09/03/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

There are four games on the WNBA slate tonight, starting with the Seattle Storm(19-13, 7-8 away) and the Connecticut Sun. Both holding a 9-23 on the season, the Dallas Wings (7-9 home) will host the Washington Mystics (5-11 away).

For the late games, the Chicago Sky (11-21, 7-9 away) will face the Las Vegas Aces (20-12, 10-7 home) on the road. Last, the shorthanded Phoenix Mercury (16-17, 9-7 home) will host the Atlanta Dream (11-21, 5-11 away) at home.

?(Photo by Candice Ward/Getty Images)

Riding a six-game losing streak, can the Sky even up the series against the Aces? Losers of three consecutive games, can the Phoenix Mercury overcome the Atlanta Dream without one of their starters?

The Connecticut Sun will face the Storm at home for the second time. Can they claim victory again? 3-2 in their last five matchups, can the Dallas Wing secure their third consecutive win?

In this article, I've formulated my favorite player prop bets within the WNBA slate. If you plan to bet on the WNBA, I've gathered all odds from legal sportsbooks. It's important to note that I've placed all my bets within FanDuel Sportsbook and picked the best player prop bets with the most significant value.

WNBA ODDS ARE CURRENT AS OF SEPTEMBER 2 AT 8 P.M. ET

If you're planning to bet on the WNBA, matchups begin at 7 p.m. ET, with the evening games tipping off at 10 p.m. ET. With that said, I've compiled a complete list of data and statistics to form my full analysis for the best player prop bets for Tuesday, September 3.

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WNBA BEST BETS FOR TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 3

WNBA PLAYER PROP BET #1: A'JA WILSON

A'JA WILSON SEASON STATS

PPG: 27.5? | FG: 52.6 % | FT: 85.8 % | 3PT % 34.6? | REB: 12 | AST: 2.4 | STL: 1.9 | BLK: 2.7

  • Over 12.5 rebounds (+106 FanDuel)

There's no question A'ja Wilson is the best player in the world right now. Coming off a 41 point and 17 rebound performance against the Mercury, Wilson has compiled four career 40+ point games.

Carrying the Aces on her back, the former South Carolina Gamecock is putting up MVP caliber stats.

  • Averaging a career-high 12 rebounds on the season, Wilson's line is slightly lower than the prop line, however for plus money, I'll gladly take the value on it.

Overall, I believe this player prop line is too low, and that's why I grabbed it early for plus money. Grabbing over 12.5 rebounds in three of the last five games, Wilson has a combined 33 rebounds over the last two matchups against the Mercury and the Dream.

Although the over has a hit rate of less than 50 percent on the season, I simply can't ignore the recent extraordinary play of A'ja Wilson. That's MVP caliber numbers right there.

A'JA WILSON IS PLAYING AT AN WNBA MVP LEVEL

In true competition for MVP with herself, Wilson is now third all time in WNBA history with the most 20+ points and 10+ rebounds.

  • The franchise all-time leader in rebounds, Wilson's averaging an incredible 14.3 rebounds over the last four games against the Mercury, Dream, Wings, and Sky.

Overall, this prop line hit the over in six of the last ten games against the Mystics, Sky, Sparks, Dream, and Mercury. I can't express how great value this is, especially since Wilson's averaged 12.7 rebounds in three games against the Sky this WNBA season.

Now she gets a Sky team who's the best in the WNBA in terms of overall rebounds per game (37.7) and the offensive boards (11.6).

THIS PROP LINE HAS GREAT VALUE AT +106 ODDS ON FANDUEL

This certainly will be a tall task for Wilson, who will face against a Chicago squad who averages three rebounds more than the Aces. Up against Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso, the Sky rank third in the league in second chance points.

While Angel Reese is elite when it comes to second chance points (4.0), trailing right behind is A'ja Wilson with 3.4 per game.

  • The WNBA leader in points in the paint, Wilson will have a heavy presence in the paint, especially since Cardoso and Reese are not outside shooters.
  • If you're betting on WNBA player props,? A'ja Wilson leads the league in defensive rebounding percentage (39.2).
  • With that said, not only did Wilson tally 20 points and 18 rebounds in her last matchup with the Sky, 12 of those boards came on the defensive end.

While Angel Reese is elite and has proven a star in the WNBA, she finished 4-16 from the field, with 11 points and 22 rebounds. Similarly, Cardoso shot just 4-10 from the floor with 12 boards.

For the value of this prop bet, there will be plenty of opportunities for Wilson to fight for rebounds, especially if Reese and Cardoso are struggling to finish.

Sure, you can say Wilson's rebound production has been inconsistent over the season simply from a betting perspective. However, she's kicked up production, especially over the last 11 games or so.

Clearing this line, averaging 13.6 rebounds over the last 14 matchups, I'll take A'ja Wilson to grab over 12.5 rebounds tonight against the Chicago Sky. The value for the under was simply too juiced for me to take at -125.

WNBA PLAYER PROP BET #2: TEAIRA MCCOWAN

TEAIRA MCCOWAN SEASON STATS

PPG: 11.1? | FG: 54.8 % | FT: 68.4 % | 3PT % 25? | REB: 7.9 | AST: 1.6 | STL: 0.8 | BLK: 0.8

  • Over 7.5 Rebounds (-145 FanDuel)

If there's one WNBA player prop I love this evening, it's Dallas Wings center Teaira McCowan to total over 7.5 rebounds tonight against the Washington Mystics. Sure, it's slightly juiced at -146 betting odds on FanDuel Sportsbook. However, it's a strong prop, and I grabbed the line early.

Averaging 7.9 rebounds per game this season, this prop line is lower than her season average, which makes this a strong pick.? Overall, I simply believe this prop line is too low, considering McCowan's cleared this line in five straight games.

With the Wings getting more into a rhythm, the lowest amount of boards grabbed in the last five games was eight, and that was against the New York Liberty.

  1. If you're betting on WNBA player props, McCowan stands at 6'7, and is a rebounding machine.
  2. Better yet, she's grabbed 11 boards in the last two matchups against the Lynx and Fever, and an outstanding 58 rebounds in the last five outings.
  3. If you do the math, that's an average of 11.6 rebounds per game, which is more than four rebounds more than what the prop line is set at.

Not one player on the Mystics can match up with McCowan height wise.

If you aren't familiar with the WNBA, the Dallas Wings present as one of the bigger lineups in the league. Even with Satou Sabally back in action,? McCowan has more than cleared this line alongside Natasha Howard.

THIS WNBA PLAYER PROP HIT THE OVER IN 5 STRAIGHT GAMES

Although the Wings are sixth in rebounds per game in the WNBA, they excel specifically in one category, and that's offensive rebounds, with 10.4 per game.

Ranking fifth in the league in offensive boards per game with 2.7, McCowan has little competition from Washington aside from Aaliyah Edwards. Given Shakira Austin is out for the Mystics with an injury, that gives this prop a huge boost, even with Stefanie Dolson on the other end.

  1. Overall, this player prop has a strong chance of soaring over, especially since the Washington Mystics are the least efficient rebounding team in the WNBA (31.9).
  2. Allowing 34.8 boards to opponents, Eric Thebault opts to run a three guard lineup alongside Edwards and Dolson.

And of course, of the Mystics starting backcourt? of Ariel Atkins, Brittney Sykes, and Julie Vanloo, not one guard is taller than 5'10. We are talking about a Mystics team who allowed Connecticut Sun guard Marina Mabrey to pull down six boards alone.

Against the Mystics, McCowan's? had limited minutes and opportunities in two games against Dallas season. It didn't help Monique Billings was getting the most of her opportunities while still a member of the Wings.

Ironically, in the sole matchups against Washington, McCowan only played a total of 24 minutes in both. Averaging 24.6 minutes in the last five games, she's increased her production for head coach Latricia Trammell. It's crucial to note, she totaled 13 and 11 rebounds in two of three games against Washington last season.

If this line hasn't already gone up, my best bet is over 7.5 rebounds for -145 odds on FanDuel.

WNBA BEST BETS #3: SKYLAR DIGGINS-SMITH

SKYLAR DIGGINS-SMITH SEASON STATS

PPG: 14.3? | FG: 40.8 % | FT: 84.7% | 3PT % 25.3 | REB: 2.8 | AST: 6.5 | STL: 1.5 | BLK: 0.9

  • Over 20.5 Points and Assists (+100 FanDuel)

There's no question Skylar Diggins-Smith has been balling out for the Seattle Storm. With slight inconsistencies early on in the season, it seems she's finding her groove with her team.

  1. At first, I loved the over 13.5 points for Diggins-Smith. However, for +100 and plus money, I'm grabbed over 20.5 points and assists on FanDuel.
  2. I know the Connecticut Sun are an elite team, especially on the defensive end.
  3. Under head coach Stephanie White, the Sun allow the least points (74.5) and assists per game (19.1).

However, those numbers have dropped slightly post All-Star break, and significantly in the last five matchups. Amidst a roster shakeup, the Sun are allowing 79.8 points per game, which ranks fifth, and 20.4 dimes over that five game period, which puts them eighth.

Sure, Diggins-Smith has seen decrease in production with her new team. However, there's a good amount of talent beside her in Nneka Ogwumike and Jewell Lloyd.

However, she's a natural born scorer, increasing her production to 15 points and 6.6 assists over the last 10 matchups. Even better, she's exploded offensively, averaging 17 points on 45.1 field goal percentage over the last five games.

In that time frame, she's dishing out seven assists, which brings her average to 23 points and assists. An underrated facilitator in the WNBA, I'm taking her veteran presence and skills all day here.

THE VALUE IS TOO GOOD AT +100 OODS TO PASS UP

  1. Similar to the A'ja Wilson player prop, I love the value for +100, considering she's averaging 20.8 points and assists on the season, which is higher than the line tonight.
  2. And especially since the Storm guard is putting up 14.5 points, and 7.o assists in two games against the Sun this WNBA season.
  3. In particular, Diggins-Smith is coming off an impressive 16 point and six assists performance against the Sun on Sunday.

Ironically, the the former Notre Dame guard has better production on the road, which is great news for the Storm, who will play their second consecutive game at Connecticut. Scoring 16.3 points on 39.5 field goal percentage, Diggins-Smith is dishing out an average 5.7 assists on the road.

Although the Storm have dropped two straight games, there's plenty of high producing offense. It's defense that's mainly been the issue. While this is all contingent how others perform around her, especially Jewell Loyd, there's no denying head coach Noelle Quinn has increased her shot volume.

For more WNBA player props and bets for September 3, be sure to join the official Ballislife Discord Pro here.?

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