It's Sunday, September 8, and there are five games listed on the WNBA slate to bet on. Beginning at 3 p.m. ET, the blazing Minnesota Lynx (25-9, 10-6 away) will take on the Washington Mystics (11-23, 4-12 home) on the road.
Winner of nine of ten games, the Lynx find themselves as heavy -8.5 points favorites this afternoon.
(Photo by M. Anthony Nesmith/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
In a rematch of last year's WNBA Finals, the New York Liberty (28-6, 15-2 home) are current -4 point favorites vs the Las Vegas Aces (22-12, 11-5 away) at the Barclays Center. Winners of two straight matchups against the Aces, the Liberty look to take the series win, which will air on ABC.
In their final matchup of the regular season, the Indiana Fever (18-17, 10-6 home) will host the struggling Atlanta Dream (12-22, 5-12 away) at home. 3-0 against the Dream this season, the Fever enter this matchup as -6.5 point spread favorites.
Not quite eliminated from WNBA playoff contention, the Dallas Wings (9-25, 2-15 away) will play the Chicago Sky (12-22, 5-12 home) on the road. With Angel Reese out for the season with a wrist injury, Dallas enters this matchup as large -10..5 favorites.? Losers of three consecutive games, the Wings get the Sky, who've dropped three of their last four games.
For the evening game, the Connecticut Sun (24-10, 11-5 away) are fresh off a home upset against the Las Vegas Aces. -8.5 favorites, they will travel and face the Los Angeles Sparks (7-27, 5-11 home), who've lost three straight.
WNBA Odds Are Current As of September 7 at 8 P.M. ET
If you're looking to bet on WNBA props, you've come to the right place! Up over 10 units on the week, I've been sizzling when it comes to best WNBA bets and player props.
I've gathered all of the best player prop odds from all legal sportsbooks, and picked the WNBA player prop bets and spread bets with the best value. Placed all on FanDuel Sportsbook, below are my top 3 WNBA bets for September 8.
Taking place this afternoon, the Lynx/Mystics and Dream/Fever matchup will appear on ESPN3.? In addition, the showdown between the Liberty and Aces will take place primetime on ABC.
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WNBA Best Bets For Sunday, September 8
WNBA Player Prop Bet #1: Caitlin Clark
Caitlin Clark Season Stats
PPG: 19 | FG: 42.3 % | FT: 90.4 % | 3PT %: 34.9 | REB: 5.8| AST: 8.4 | STL: 1.4 | BLK: 0.8
- O 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-118 FanDuel)
One of my top WNBA player prop bets is Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark to record over 34.5 points, rebounds, and assists against the Atlanta Dream this afternoon.
- The heavy ROY candidate betting wise, Clark is averaging 33.2 points, rebounds, and assists on the season, which is slightly lower than the line set at 34.5.
- Hot off 25 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 8.0 assists against the Lynx, Clark will get another shot today.
It's obviously Clark had an tumultuous first half of the 2024 WNBA season, its clear Clark has found her stride, and I simply cannot overstating that. I truly believe this line is set too low, especially considering her recent play.
- Fresh off 41 PRAs against the Lynx, Minnesota was a tall task for Clark.
- One of the top defensive teams in the league, Clark finished 8-21 from the field, including 5-10 from downtown.
If you're betting on Caitlin Clark, she plays the Dream, who are an underrated defensive team. Behind Rhyne Howard in the backcourt, Atlanta allows 80.2 points per game, which is ranked 5th in the WNBA.
A top three rebounding team in the league, the Dream ironic rank dead last in assists. On the defensive end the 5th most boards per game (35.1), and allow nearly 20 dimes per game.
Caitlin Clark Remains a Top Popular WNBA Prop Bet
4th in the WNBA Eastern Conference, this is a Dream Team that will be without Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, who will miss the remainder of the season with an ankle injury. A guard heavy team, Tina Charles is in a battle of her own, averaging 9.4 rebounds per game.
- While the Dream have upheld their defense post All-Star break, they're also limiting opponents to 17.7 assists per game.
Without Tyus, their rebound effectiveness has dropped.
- Over all, Clark hasn't topped over her prop line in three straight games against the Dream.
- Increasing matchup by matchup, she's tallied 17, 27, and 33 PRAs per game.
If she continues that trend, I expect Clark to follow suit of her recent performances. Hitting the over in four straight games against the Sky, Wings, Sparks, and Lynx, the Fever guard averages 44 PRAs over that time span.
Hitting the over against the Wings, Mercury, and Storm, she's only hit the under in two of ten games.
Final WNBA Betting Prediction: Cailtin Clark O 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists? (-118 FanDuel)
This time Clark gets another matchup at home, where she's averaged 35.2 PRAS in 16 games at Gainbridge. Showing heavy improvement and comfortability in the lineup, she's averaged 37.7 points, rebounds, and assists over the month of August.
- She's only increased her performance, averaging 43 PRAs through the month of September.
Hitting her PRA prop total (41, 44,44, 47) in four straight games, the Dream have a more powered offense with the return of Jordin Canada. While the Dream have had several low scoring games, I do believe this will be a shootout with Indiana.
- One point shy of this prop total last game against the Dream, Clarks coming off a 21 field goal attempt night, where she had 10 shots alone from downtown.
With 19 field goal attempts on 45 percent three-point shooting over the last three games, I'm tailing this prop tonight. Able to shoot from anywhere on the court, Clark can dish it from anywhere as well. It's all about timing with her teammates.
WNBA Player Prop Bet #2: Chelsea Gray
Chelsea Gray Season Stats
PPG: 8 | FG: 40.1 % | FT: 81.6 % | 3PT %: 33.3 | REB: 2.9 | AST: 4.9 | STL: 1.1 | BLK: 0.7
- O 4.5 Assists (-158 FanDuel)
For my next WNBA player prop, I have Chelsea Gray to dish out over 4.5 assists against the New York Liberty. Although a tad juiced at -158 odds, I was happy to find the line at 4.5 on FanDuel, considering most sportsbooks moved the line to 5.5.
- Coming off a 72-67 victory over the Connecticut Sun, it was Chelsea Gray who fired off a late fourth-quarter trey to put the game away for the Aces.
- The true facilitator and point guard for this team, this has truly been of one of my favorite WNBA props for the season. At a line of 4.5 assists, I'll gladly take it for -158 odds.
Mentioned in my previous articles, there's no question Gray's offensive scoring production has fallen quite a bit this season post injury.
- Averaging 8 points per game, she's the 5th leading scorer on the Aces, and shooting a career low 40.1 % from the field.
Now, that's not to take anything away from Gray, she remains one of the most prestigious guards in the league.
This WNBA Player Prop Line Will Increase
Inconsistent through the month of August, it's evident Gray is getting her conditioning and form back. Coming off a 13 point, six assist game against the Connecticut Sun, she shot just 4-10 from the field. While the Sun are a ferocious team, and I saw the level of defense front row, Gray and the Aces won't get an easier matchup today.
- The Liberty remain an elite team on the defensive end, allowing just 76.4 points per game.
- Although Sabrina Ionescu's defense has improved, Gray may have an advantage scoring wise against the Liberty backcourt.
- Overall, Gray missed some mid range shots against the Sun, but was effectively able to distribute the rock against her former team.
- Averaging 4.9 assists, this line is simply too low, especially since Gray's hit the over in three straight games.
It's interesting how Aces head coach Becky Hammon has reverted to her bench more often than not. Unaware of potential injury, Aces guard Jackie Young logged just two points in 21 minutes agains the Sun.
Down the stretch down points, it was Sydney Colson and Tiffany Hayes who received crucial minutes in the backcourt. Although the Aces can't afford to sit Gray in a crucial matchup with the Liberty, I do believe Hammon will pull any player who's struggling the slightest. Desperate for a spark, every game counts, especially with the season winding down.
Final WNBA Betting Prediction: Chelsea Gray O 4.5 Assists (-158 FanDuel)
Dishing out 4.5 assists in four of the last six games, Gray recently tallied 10 alone this past week against Chicago. With an average of 5.2 assists over the last five matchups, it's contingent on her minutes played.
Logging inconsistent minutes at times, the Aces guard is coming off 27 against Connecticut. Overall, this WNBA prop has an 80 percent hit rate when Gray plays 27 minutes or more.
In fact, when on the court for that duration, she averages 5.3 assists on the road. A'ja Wilson did struggle from the field, but as long as Becky Hammon puts her faith in Gray, she should have a decent assists night in a battle with the Liberty.
WNBA Spread Bet: New York Liberty
The Aces and the Liberty will square away for their third meeting of the season. Up 2-0 over the Aces, the Liberty are four point favorites. 17-18 against the spread, New York has consistently captured the +3.5 and +2.5 underdog spread against Vegas this year.
22-12, the Aces are riding a four game win streak over the Sun, Sky, Mercury, and Dream. Although three of those are subpar teams, the Aces have raised several questions this year. Yes, it's hard to repeat as back-to-back champions, and they've had plenty of noise thrown their way.
Up until September, the Aces were unrecognizable.
- Now they've seemed to find some sort of groove, although its unclear how Becky Hammon will continue to use her bench players.
2-0 against the spread, I'm tailing a Liberty team who's been far more consistent on both ends of the court this year. If you're betting on the WNBA, they've are the top offensive team in the WNBA, and rank 2nd in defensive rating behind the Connecticut Sun.
When it's mattered most, New York's shown up against Vegas since season, both times on the road. Although Hammon's started to experiment using her bench as of late, I'll take the Liberty's bench depth and strength any day.
- With the addition of Betnijah Laney Hamilton back in the lineup, Kayla Thorton, Kennedy Burke, and Leonie Fiebich, are all proven starters coming off the bench.
I do believe the Liberty will continue to win the rebounding battle and offensive production over the Aces. Coming off a hard fought win against the Sun, the Aces now travel to New York to endure another road game. 6-10 against the spread on the road, Las Vegas will enter this game as the underdog for the first time all season.
Final WNBA Betting Prediction: New York Liberty -4 (-108 FanDuel)
Overall, this will be an extremely close battle between New York and Vegas. 6-4 ATS, New York's proven they can hang and cover underdog spreads, especially against Connecticut and Vegas.
What truly sets these teams apart is depth talent and defense. Since the All-Star break, both teams rank in the top four in terms of defensive efficiency. However, the Aces lack perimeter defense, and rank 5th overall in defensive rating.
If betting on the WNBA, the Liberty has held the Aces to just 74.5 points on 41 percent field goal shooting in two matchups this season. While personal fouls have been an issue for Vegas, they've kept star players in check, particularly Jackie Young.
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