The Indiana Fever hopes to build on their upset win against the top-seed New York Liberty while the Washington Mystics look to get over the hump as both teams clash on Wednesday, July 10, 2024 at the ruckus Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana.

(Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images)

Indiana Fever Vs Washington Mystics Predictions: WNBA Team Analysis

• Down by seven heading into the payoff period, the Fever unloaded a blistering 28-16 run in the fourth behind rookie sensation Caitlin Clark to beat the Liberty 83-78 last Saturday.
• Clark recorded the first triple-double by a rookie in league history, chipping in 19 points, 13 assists, and 12 rebounds while forward Aaliyah Boston added 18 markers to help the Fever notch its ninth win of the season.

Up next for the Fever is the struggling Washington Mystics, whom they beat twice already this season. The Mystics are coming off a heartbreaking 74-67 loss to the Minnesota Lynx over the weekend.

After being down by as many as 16, Washington fought back to take a 57-55 lead after the third but ultimately ran out of steam in the fourth to drop its second game in a row.

Will the Mystics learn to close out games and finally beat the Fever this season? Or will Caitlin Clark and the rest of the Fever continue its mastery over the Mystics?

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Let’s find out how the bookmakers see this match playing our comprehensive Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics sports betting predictions.

Indiana Fever Vs Washington Mystics DraftKings WNBA Odds Today July 10

Moneyline

• Indiana Fever: -218
• Washington Mystics: +180

Spread

• Indiana Fever: -5 (-110)
• Washington Mystics: +5 (-110)

Over/Under (Total)

• OVER 167.5 (-112)
• UNDER 167.5 (-108)

Indiana Fever Vs Las Vegas Aces Injury Report

Indiana Fever Injury Report

1. Temi Fagbenle – Out

Washington Mystics Injury Report

1. Emmy Engstler – Out
2. Shakira Austin – Hip – Out
3. Karlie Samuelson – Out
4. Brittney Sykes – Out

Best Odds for Indiana Fever Vs Washington Mystics

• The Indiana Fever and the Washington Mystics have hit the over in their last five meetings. Bet365 offers the best price for the over 157.5 market total at -110.

• The Washington Mystics are among the best Against-The-Spread (ATS) teams in the league. Punters can get them at -110 on DraftKings to cover the +5 spread.
• The Indiana Fever has covered the spread in two of their last three games. DraftKings offers them at -110 to cover the -5 spread.

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Why will the Indiana Fever cover the spread?

Consistency has been an issue for the Indiana Fever all season long. After recording four straight wins last month, the Fever has only won two of their last five games.

To be fair to the Fever, their last three losses came at the hands of top teams such as the Chicago Sky, the Seattle Storm, and the Las Vegas Aces.

The Washington Mystics, on the other hand, is anything but a top team.

1. The Mystics currently hold a dismal 5-17 (win-loss) record, which is dead last in the entire league.
2. If that is not good enough, the Fever has also beaten the Mystics twice this season, with the last victory being an 88-81 home win.

In their last win, the Fever got 22 points each from Aaliyah Boston and Kelsey Mitchell while Caitlin Clark contributed 18 points and 12 rebounds.

The Mystics will also be missing starting guard Karlie Samuelson in this match.

• The 29-year old Samuelson played an integral role in Washington’s offense the last time they played the Fever, pitching in 16 points, five assists, and three rebounds.

With Samuelson and a host of Washington’s big guns out against Indiana, expect the Fever to impose its dominance against the Mystics who are among the worst offensive and defensive teams in the league.

For context, Washington is ranked 10th and 11th in the league in offense and defense respectively. All things considered, backing the Indiana Fever to cover the spread at these odds could appeal to some punters, especially with how the Mystics currently look.

Why will the Washington Mystics cover the spread?

The Washington Mystics haven’t had an encouraging year. They are last in the standings. They are one of the worst offensive and defensive teams in the league. But it’s not all doom and gloom for the Mystics this season, especially when it comes to covering the spread.

• As a matter of fact, the Mystics are sitting on top of the league as far as ATS record is concerned.

Currently, the Washington Mystics hold a 14-7-1 ATS record, which is better than powerhouse teams such as the New York Liberty, the Minnesota Lynx, and the Las Vegas Aces.

They will be taking on an Indiana team who is average when it comes to covering the spread.

• Throughout 22 games this season, the Fever has only covered the spread 12 times. Moreover, the Mystics are also 6-4-1 ATS on the road.

But for the Mystics to cover the spread and give themselves a chance against the Fever, they will need other players to step up, especially former Iowa State guard Julie Vanloo.

In their last defeat against the Lynx, every Mystics player hit the score sheet except for the 31-year old Vanloo who was held scoreless on zero-for-nine shooting from the field.

• Also expected to carry the scoring cudgels for the Mystics is Ariel Atkins who currently leads the team in scoring at 14.5 points per game.
• In their last clash with the Fever, Atkins was nothing but impressive, recording 27 points on 10-for-17 shooting from the field.

Should Atkins and Vanloo get going, backing Washington to cover the spread at these current odds might be attractive for punters considering their ATS history this season.

Final Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Prediction: Indiana Fever -5 (-110)

One would argue that betting on these two teams would be fool’s gold especially with how inconsistent they were in their past five games.

However, taking into account their head-to-head history and the injury-bug in Washington, I am leaning towards the Indiana Fever to cover the spread and pick up its 10th win of the season in front of their home fans.