Reigning champions Las Vegas Aces look to extend their winning streak to five when it hosts the struggling Chicago Sky on Tuesday, July 16, 2024, at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nevada.

(Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Predictions: WNBA Team Analysis

The Aces return home after a successful three-game road trip where they picked up impressive wins against the Seattle Storm, the Atlanta Dream, and the Washington Mystics.

1. In their last game, the Aces rallied from a 13-point deficit to turn back the Mystics 89-77.
2. Prized center A’ja Wilson had 28 points and 17 rebounds while Kelsey Plum added 22 for the Aces who recorded their 10th win in their last 11 games.

The Aces aim to make it 11 wins in their last 12 when it takes on a Sky team that is coming off back-to-back double-digit losses to league-leaders New York Liberty.

Against the Liberty, the Sky found itself in no-man’s land losing 91-76 on Thursday before dropping an 81-67 decision over the weekend.

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An acid test awaits Chicago when it takes on a Las Vegas team that handed them a 12-point beatdown earlier this season. Will the Sky pull off the upset or will the Aces continue its win streak?

With plenty of questions and so little answers available, let’s look at how the current Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky odds currently stand according to the bookmakers.

Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky DraftKings WNBA Odds for July 16

Moneyline

• Las Vegas Aces: -1350
• Chicago Sky: +800

Spread

• Las Vegas Aces: -14.5 (-110)
• Chicago Sky: +14.5 (-110)

Over/Under (Total)

• OVER 169.5 (-110)
• UNDER 169.5 (-110)

Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Injury Report

Las Vegas Aces Injury Report

• No Injuries

Chicago Sky Injury Report

1. Elizabeth Williams – Knee – Out

Best Odds for Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky

• The Las Vegas Aces have beaten the Chicago Sky by double digits in their last three games. Bet365 offers the best price for the Aces to cover the -14.5 spread at -110.
• Both teams have hit the over in four of their last six games. The best Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky odds for the over market is on DraftKings at -110.
• The Chicago Sky last beat the Las Vegas Aces in June 2022. Bet365 offers the best price for the Chicago Sky to pull off the upset at +800.

Why will the Las Vegas Aces cover the spread?

The Las Vegas Aces started the season on the wrong end of the spectrum. However, since the return of guard Chelsea Gray, they have been seemingly impossible to beat winning 10 of their last 11 games.

What is even more remarkable is nine of those were double-digit wins. Up next for the Aces is a Chicago Sky team, which they’ve already manhandled earlier this season.

It can be recalled that the Aces came in as 8.5 favorites in their previous meeting against the Sky.

1. However, it proved to be too generous as the Aces more than covered the spread following a 95-83 road victory against the Sky.
2. With the Aces returning home this time, they opened as 12.5 point favorites against the Sky but have closed at -14.5 as per the latest Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky betting lines.

Considering the Aces’ recent run of success and Chicago’s inconsistent road record, backing them to cover the - 14.5 spread at -110 should offer value to punters.

1. It is also worth noting that the Aces have beaten the Sky by an average of 13.8 points in their past six meetings.
2. The Aces also have a positive record at home this season, winning eight of their 12 games.

Expected to carry the scoring cudgels for the Aces is A’ja Wilson who has been nothing short of impressive this season. In their past matchup against the Sky, the 27-year old Wilson unloaded for 31 points and six rebounds on 10-for-19 shooting to nullify the offensive explosion of Chicago’s scoring duo of Marina Mabrey and Chennedy Carter, who combined for nearly half of the Sky's total offensive production.

Why will the Chicago Sky cover the spread?

Inconsistency has haunted the Chicago Sky all season. Now, they are in danger of dropping out of the playoff picture heading into the All Star break. Following successive victories against the Atlanta Dream and the Seattle Storm, the Sky has only won once in their last four games.

1. With Chicago in danger of dropping further down the standings, the Sky needs to regroup and pick up a win to keep itself in the playoff hunt.
2. That would be easier said than done though, with the Chicago Sky taking on the Aces, which are currently the hottest team in the league.
3. With how things currently look, one would assume that the Sky is heading into Sin City for a massive beatdown.

But, if there is one thing the Sky can take solace on is the Aces are also inconsistent when covering the spread.

1. While the Aces are 6-6 ATS at home, they are 10-12 overall, meaning they always do not deliver against the spread.
2. However, for Chicago to give themselves a chance against the powerhouse Las Vegas Aces squad, they will need Kamilla Cardoso to step up and have a breakout game.
3. The 23-year old Cardoso found herself on the wrong end of the much-anticipated matchup against A’ja Wilson in their previous encounter, scoring just five points in 30 minutes of action.

Besides Cardoso, the Sky bench also needs to step up. Chicago only got nine points from its bench players in their last meeting against Las Vegas.

Should things fall into place for the Sky, it is within the realm of possibility for the road squad to cover the +14.5 spread at -110.

Final Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Prediction: Las Vegas Aces -14.5 (-110)

Although I love the frontcourt pair of Angel Reese and Kamilla Cardoso and backcourt duo of Marina Mabrey and Chennedy Carter, it’s just hard to pick against the Las Vegas Aces.

They are healthy and have been beating teams by double digits on the road. With the Aces returning home and the Chicago Sky currently in shambles, it’s hard to see a different outcome.