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UFC 304 Fight Night Predictions: Paddy vs Green Betting Odds and Best Bets July 27

Publish Date: 07/27/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The UFC is looking to put on an exciting fight card for the UK fans with UFC 304 this Saturday, July 27th at the new Co-Op Arena in Manchester, England.

(Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

In the featured bout on the main card, we have the hometown favorite Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett taking on King Green in a highly anticipated lightweight matchup.

Green is looking to spoil the party of the homecoming of Paddy Pimblett as he comes into this fight after a beatdown of UFC veteran Jim Miller at UFC 300.

Paddy Pimblett has yet to lose in his UFC career winning all 5 of his fights inside the Octagon and he will be coming into this fight looking to put on a show for his fans and get into the top-15 rankings in the lightweight division when he takes on his toughest test to date King Green.

With that said, we take a look at this main event fight and give out our prediction and pick for this Paddy-Green matchup.

UFC 304: Paddy Pimblett Predictions July 27th

Paddy Pimblett (21-3)?made a name for himself as the brash and outspoken fighter out of Liverpool and became a fan favorite over in the UK's top regional promotion Cage Warriors competing in both their featherweight and lightweight divisions before getting the call to fight in the UFC.

  • Pimblett? got his shot with back-to-back first round finishes on the regional scene and he continued his torrid pace with three straight finishes to start his UFC career and he most recently defeated the former interim lightweight champion Tony Ferguson in his most recent bout.
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Pimblett is a very well-rounded fighter who can finish his opponents on the feet or on the mat. However, his best chance of winning and remaining unbeaten during his time in the UFC is to take Green to the mat and dominate there.

  • Of Pimblett's 21 wins, 10 of them have come by submission with 2 of his 5 wins in the UFC coming by submission.

This certainly will be no easy fight for Pimblett as Green is as well-rounded as they come and is one of the most battle-tested fighters in the lightweight division.

Green is also exceptionally hard to finish so Pimblett will need to go in there to outwork and overwhelm Green to come away victorious in this matchup.

UFC 304: King Green Predictions July 27th

King Green (32-15-1)?is one of the mainstays in the UFC's lightweight division with 25 fights and is the No. 15-ranked lightweight contender in the division.

He is coming off a brutal beatdown of another longtime lightweight competitor Jim Miller at UFC 300 and will be looking to extend his winning streak to two when he takes on the hometown's Paddy Pimblett this weekend.

Green is as game as they come in the lightweight division willing to lay it all out there for the fans and to get his hands raised in the end.

  • King Green is exceptionally hard to finish as well only being finished 7 times in his 49-fight career. He also hasn't been submitted in his 30-fight career in the UFC and Strikeforce.

He is at his best when he's pressing the action, coming forward, and throwing his crisp combinations from the hip. He has this hands-down style of boxing that is hard to deal with because his strikes come from odd angles that his opponents can't get a read on.

Green also overwhelms his opponents with his pace and volume which is unmatched in the lightweight division where he has the most strikes landed in the division with 2,072.

  • Going up against a fighter like Paddy Pimblett should serve him well as Pimblett is known for taking a ton of damage on the feet with his chin high in the air.

It will come down to Green's 74% takedown defense to keep this fight standing where he will then look to punish Pimblett to another KO victory or a one-sided beatdown for a decision victory.

UFC 304: PADDY PIMBLETT vs KING GREEN FANDUEL ODDS FOR JULY 27

MONEY LINE

  • PADDY PIMBLETT: -106
  • KING GREEN: -114

PROPS

  • PADDY PIMBLETT BY POINTS: +280
  • PADDY PIMBLETT BY SUBMISSION: +500
  • PADDY PIMBLETT BY KNOCKOUT/TKO: +650
  • KING GREEN BY POINTS: +195
  • KING GREEN BY KNOCKOUT/TKO: +450
  • KING GREEN BY SUBMISSION: +1600

OVER/UNDER (ROUNDS TOTAL)

  • OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-176)
  • UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+138)

BEST UFC 304 ODDS FOR PADDY PIMBLETT vs BELAL MUHAMMAD

  • Paddy Pimblett comes into this lightweight matchup as the betting underdog. DraftKings Sportsbook is where you can find the best odds at (-105)
  • King Green is the slight favorite in this matchup over Paddy Pimblett. Bet365 Sportsbook has Green sitting at (-110)
  • DraftKings comes in with the best odds for the total number of rounds, the over 2.5 Rounds is at (-160) while the under is at (+124)

FINAL PADDY-GREEN PICK & PREDICTION

We have a great fight in the lightweight division for the featured bout on the main card between Paddy Pimblett and King Green.

Ultimately, expect this fight to be highly entertaining throughout but it will be the striking of King Green that will be the difference maker as he keeps this fight standing and outstrikes Pimblett on the feet to a decision or a possible late finish.

FINAL PADDY-GREEN PICK & PREDICTION: KING GREEN (-114)

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Allan Howe
Allan Howe
Editor
Garrett Kerman
Garrett Kerman
Sports Reporter | Capper
Kenny Ducey
Kenny Ducey
Sports Reporter | Capper
Dan Tracey
Dan Tracey
Sports Writer
Sara Jane Gamelli
Sara Jane Gamelli
Sports Writer | Bettor
John Carlo A. Villaruel
John Carlo A. Villaruel
Sports Writer
Ronnie Flores
Ronnie Flores
Editor | Sports Writer

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