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Lakers vs. Magic: Betting Odds, Stats, & Predictions

Sara Jane Gamelli 3749 October 30, 2023 No Comments

Written and edited by

Sara Jane Gamelli

The Orlando Magic (2-0,1-0 Away) will matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers( 1-2, 1-0 Home) on the road tonight. With a 60 percent chance to win, the Lakers will look to bounce back from a 132-127 overtime loss against the Kings. For the Magic, they remain undefeated on the road, capturing victories over Portland and Houston. Here you will find the NBA betting odds, stats, trends, player prop bets, and predictions for Monday, October 30.

Orlando Magic vs. Los Angeles Lakers Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Magic vs. Lakers under 218 points

Although it may be early in the NBA season, the Magic are top team defensively, and the Los Angeles Lakers rank in the top half on the defensive end. Filled with youthful talent, Orlando starts the season undefeated, while the Lakers are 1-2. For the Magic, they've had easier matchups so far, both against the Houston Rockets and Portland Trail Blazers, both sub .500 teams. For the Lakers, they've matched up with the Kings, Suns, and Nuggets, whom are all projected to be top teams in the West this season.

While the Magic are 0-2-0 versus totals, the Lakers are 1-2-0. For Los Angeles, they had several off season acquisitions after being swept by the Nuggets in the playoffs. With several new pieces (Taurean Prince, Gabe Vincent, Jaxon Hayes, Cam Reddish, and Christian Wood) Darvin Ham now has the challenge of putting it all together. While it takes time to develop chemistry, Ham also has the challenge of managing LeBron James minutes.

The Lakers have the depth and talent to average nearly 130 points on any given night, especially if Anthony Davis can play to his max potential. Though three games, the Lakers rank 19th in offensive rating (106.4), averaging 111.3 points per game. Only averaging 29.1 percent from three-point range, Los Angeles also ranks near the bottom in field goal percentage (40). So far, James and Davis average a combined 48.7 points per game, with D'Angelo Russell sitting in third with 14 points a game.

The Lakers for sure rely on their bench outside their starting five, which includes Rui Hachimura, along with the players I stated above. Averaging 26.3 points as a bench unit, any of these players have the capability to take over games and score. Tonight, they play a Magic defense thats ranks third in defensive rating, and allows the least amount of most scored in the league.

Why the under can hit this game

Jamahl Mosley, Head Coach of the Orlando Magic, prides himself on leading a top defensive team. Led by Franz Wagner and Cole Anthony, Orlando has several dogs on defense, including Jalen Suggs. Although their lead over Portland wasn't significant, they held the Trail Blazers to 39.8 percent field goal, and 28.1 percent three-point shooting. In their season debut, the Magic held the Rockets to 86 points on 40.5 percent field goal shooting.

Defensively, the Magic impressed Portlands head coach Chauncey Billups, in which they made the Blazers miss six of their last seven shots in the final quarter. They also held the opposition to just 38 point scored in the paint, which should be a challenging task tonight.

As elite as they've been on defense, the Magic are tied 8th with the Brooklyn Nets and Boston Celtics in offensive rating (113.5). Not just one star scoring a majority of the points, Orlando has a well balanced attack. With mainly a clean slate of health tonight, Orlando will post likely start Jalen Suggs, Markelle Fultz, Wendell Carter Jr., Franz Wagner, and Paolo Banchero. Additionally, the Magic are second in the league in bench points per game (48.5)

Overall, the totals split 1-1 last season, and the over/under is 5-5 in their last ten games. Last season, the Magic finished one of the worst teams in the league, and 40-42-0 against the over/under. If you're betting on the NBA, the under is your safest bet, especially with LeBron James listed as probable. With both teams ranking in the bottom half in pace, I except this to be a relatively low scoring game tonight.

Season Statistics & Betting Trends

*Includes 22-23 season*

Orlando Magic

  • Orlando Magic: 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • 5-5 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 2-0-0
  • O/U Record: 0-2-0
  • 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 1-4 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 3-7 in the last 10 games.
  • 9th in Offensive Rating (113.5)
  • 3rd in Defensive Rating (95.8)
  • T 19th in Points Per Game (109)
  • 25th in Pace: 95.75 (30)
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 91.5 (1)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 29 % (27)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 51 (3)
  • Orlando ATS won last 10 games: Brooklyn (-1.5), Memphis (+6.5), Washington (-4.5), Detroit (-11), Houston (-4.5), Portland (-4)

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Los Angeles Lakers: 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • 3-7 in their last 10 games.
  • ATS Record: 0-3-0
  • O/U Record: 1-2-0
  • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • O/U is 2-3 in the last 5 games.
  • O/U: 5-5 in the last 10 games.
  • 19th in Offensive Rating (106.4)
  • 15th in Defensive Rating (110.5)
  • 13th in Points Per Game (111.3)
  • 15th in Pace: 100.99
  • Opponent Points Per Game: 115.6 (T 18)
  • Three-Point Percentage: 33.9 (16)
  • Rebounds Per Game: 46.3 (12)
  • Lakers ATS won last 10 games:  Golden State (-2.5, -3.5), Denver (+5.5)

Head-to-head stats: Magic vs. Lakers

Season Matchups: 2022-2023
Lakers won the season series 2-0

Game 1: Lakers 129, Magic 110 (Lakers +2.5, O 237.5)
Game 2: Lakers 111, Magic 105 (Orlando +6.5, Under 229.5)

Injuries

Magic

  • Kevon Harris, G: Day-to-Day

Lakers

  • Jarred Vanderbilt, PF : OUT (Heel)
  • Jalen Hood-Schifino, G: OUT
  • Lebron James, F: Probable
  • Cam Reddish: Probable
  • Rui Hachimura: Probable

Franz Wagner O 18.5 Points (-110)

Season Stats PPG: 21 | FG: 39.3 % | 3 PT: 37.5 % | FT: 93.3 % | REB: 4.5 | AST: 2.5 | STL: 1 | BLK: 0.5

Career Stats vs Los Angeles: PPG: 17.8 | FG: 48.3 % | 3 PT: 27.8 % | FT: 76.5 % | REB: 5 | AST: 4 | STL: 0.8 | BLK:0.5

Franz Wagner is certainly having a fantastic start to the season. In two games, Wagner is averaging over 20 points a game and has been a difference maker for the Magic. The Lakers are a middle of a road defensive team, allowing teams to shoot 35 percent from downtown. For Wagner, over 18.5 points has hit in two straight games this season, including 23 against Portland, and 19 against Houston. Although this prop hit only 50 percent in the last ten games, Wagner has taken a huge leap forward for the Magic.

Coming off back-to-back solid games, Wagner faces a Laker team that allows 116.6 points which is 20th in the league. The lowest he's scored was 15 points agains the Lakers, and last scored 21 points against them in March of 2023. Through the first two games, the forward has six made threes, a part of his game he worked on in the off season. If LeBron James is out for tonight's matchup, I will be even more confident on this pick.

Why this prop will hit

It's clear there are several scoring options for the Magic. However, both Wagner and Banchero have emerged as leaders of this team on a nightly basis. Averaging 18.6 points per game in his sophmore year, Franz is extremely versatile, competitive, and has a deadly step back shot. Although Banchero has emerged as their "best player," Wager is extremely efficient in spacing the floor.

If you're betting on the NBA, Franz Wagner over 18.5 points hit 56 percent in 2022-2023, and 53 percent in his last fifteen games. Despite only shooting under 40 percent from both the field and the three point line, I'm more confident he can put up more points.

Cole Anthony 15+ Points, Rebounds, Assists

Season Stats PPG: 19 | FG: 51.9 % | 3 PT: 44.4 % | FT: 66.7 % | REB: 6 | AST: 2 | STL: 0 | BLK: 0.5

Career Stats vs Los Angeles: PPG: 13 | FG: 34.8 % | 3 PT: 33.3 % | FT: 64.3 % | REB: 4.2 | AST: 4.2 | STL: 0.8 | BLK:0.5

Sometimes I like to pick the safest bet, and that is Cole Anthony over 15 + Points, Rebounds, and assists. If you're betting on the NBA and choosing not to set up a parlay, I would be confident in taking Anthony over 18.5. This prop has hit in his first two games against Houston and Portland, and 50 percent in two games against the Lakers. A rising star in the NBA, Anthony hit this prop 90 percent in the last ten games, and 14 of the last 15 games. Hitting in the last five games, it's extremely hard to fade this prop.

This year, the Lakers rank 25th in rebounds allowed, and 16th in total assists (25.7). Even off the bench, Anthony has been averaging strong numbers. Imagine if he was a starter for Orlando? Although he's been a primary bench player, the guard is averaging 26 minutes a game, and is shooting extremely efficient from the field (51.9 percent). The fact that Cole Anthony has a combined 27 shot attempts in two games, makes me even more comfortable about this pick.

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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at Ballislife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut/NYC area with her Cat and Dog. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in business administration.

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