Sara Jane Gamelli

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It is July 22nd, and there are a total of four WNBA games on the slate today. The first matchup will begin at 1 PM EST, and the last at 9 PM EST. In this article, I will talk about the best odds, my analysis, and best straight bet predictions. If you are looking for the best betting odds, stats and analysis, here is information to know.

*Media sourced from the Official WNBA Twitter*

4 Games Today

Saturday hoops begins with an @espn double-header at 1pm/ET

You can watch games across ESPN, Twitter and NBA TV #MoreThanGame pic.twitter.com/4pKbnPYqOb

— WNBA (@WNBA) July 22, 2023

The Las Vegas Aces continue to be the most dominant team in the WNBA, at 20-2. The Aces are coming off a four-game win streak against the Minnesota Lynx, Phoenix Mercury, Los Angeles Sparks, and the Seattle Storm. In their last win against the Mercury, A'ja Wilson finished with a double-double (23 points, 15 rebounds), Jackie Young with 22 points, and Kelsey Plum with 20 points. In addition, all five of the Aces starters combined for a total of 13 steals. Here are some additional betting stats:

Betting Stats

• The Las Vegas Aces are 4-0 in their last 4 games.
• Minnesota Lynx are 1-3 in their last 4 games.
• The Las Vegas Aces are 9-1 in their last 10 games.
• Minnesota is 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• Aces Overall ATS Record: 12-10-0.
• Aces Overall O/U Record: 13-9-0.
• Lynx Overall ATS Record: 11-10-1.
• Lynx Overall O/U Record: 10-12-0.
• The Aces are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games.
• The Aces are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.
• The Lynx are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games.
• The Lynx are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
• The Aces O/U is 6-4 in the last 10 games.
• The Lynx O/U is 6-4 in the last 10 games.
• LV ATS won last 10 games: -12.5 (Sparks), -17 (Mercury), -11.5 (Lynx), -11 (Sun), -6.5 (Liberty.)
• MIN ATS won last 10 games: -5 (Mercury), -2 (Fever), +1.5 (Mercury), +3 (Storm), -4 (Storm).

Head-to-head stats: Aces vs. Lynx

• The Las Vegas Aces are 3-0 ATS vs. the Minnesota Lynx this season.
• The Las Vegas Aces are 3-0 against the Minnesota Lynx this year.
• In 3 Games vs the Lynx, the Aces won spreads: -11.5, -17, -15.5.
• Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 170.
• Aces average points vs. Lynx last 10 games: 86.
• Lynx average points vs Aces last 10 games: 84.
• Lynx average points last 10 games: 82.
• Aces average points last 10 games: 94.

Most points scored in a game this year
Highest FG% by a team this year

Aces drop 113 points on 59.7 FG% to defeat the Lynx and clinch a spot in the #CommissionersCup Championship.@kelseyplum10: 40 PTS / 4 AST / 14-18 FG / 6-9 3-PT@JackieYoung3: 17 PTS / 8 AST / 54% FG /… pic.twitter.com/H9pIp1avPH

— Las Vegas Aces (@LVAces) July 10, 2023

Media sourced from the Las Vegas Aces official Twitter. 

The Minnesota Lynx have a record of 10-12, and rank 7th overall in the WNBA. Dorka Juhasz, former UConn star, had 16 points and 10 rebounds against the Sparks. In addition, All-Star Napheesa Collier had 22 points, 8 rebounds, and Diamond Miller with 13 points and 7 rebounds. Overall, the Lynx rank 8th in points per game (79.1), 11th in 3-PT percentage (31.1), 8th in offensive rating (100.1), and 10th in defensive rating (107.2).

Overall, the Aces are 3-0 against the Lynx, and Vegas had the most points scored in a game this season, and highest field goal percentage, in their previous matchup. In addition, the Aces dropped 113 points on Minnesota, and Kelsey Plum had a career-high of 40 points and 6 three-pointers made that night. In addition, Las Vegas had five players with points in double figures, in which they shot 60 percent from the field. On the contrary, Minnesota shot 56 percent from the three, 50 percent from the field, and had 6 players with points in double figures. Vegas covered the spread in all three games, including -11.5-, -17-, and -15.5-point spreads. Although Vegas didn't cover the -16.5 spread against the Mercury, I'm confident they will cover today with their head-to-head stats, and their overall dominance this year.

The Connecticut Sun are 16-6, and have the 3rd best record in the WNBA. Although Connecticut lost Brionna Jones due to an Achillies injury in late June, they have All-Stars DeWanna Bonner and Alyssa Thomas. In their last win against Atlanta, Natisha Hiedeman led the way with 24 points and 4 steals. In addition, their starters had a combined 11 steals, and four players with points in double figures. The Connecticut Sun rank 2nd in defensive rating (105.5) and hold opponents to 78.5 points per game. Here are some additional betting stats:

Betting Stats:

• The Connecticut Sun are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• The Atlanta Dream are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• The Connecticut Sun are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• Atlanta is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• Sun Overall ATS Record: 12-9-1.
• Sun Overall O/U Record: 13-9-0
• Dream Overall ATS Record: 12-9-0
• Dream Overall O/U Record: 12-9-0
• The Sun are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Sun are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.
• The Dream are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Dream are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.
• The Sun O/U is 6-4 in the last 10 games.
• The Sun hit the UNDER in 3 straight games.
• The Dream hit the UNDER in 3 straight games.
• The Dream O/U is 5-5 in the last 10 games.
• CT Under last 10 games: Atlanta (153), Phoenix (138), Chicago (156), Minnesota (157)
• ATL Under last 10 games: Connecticut (153), Minnesota (155), Seattle (160), Chicago (165), Chicago (150).

Head-to-head stats: Sun vs. Dream

• The Connecticut Sun are 2-1 ATS vs. the Atlanta Dream this season.
• The Connecticut Sun are 2-1 against the Atlanta Dream this year.
• The Over hit 2/3 Games: 180 (overtime game), 166 .
• The Under hit the last matchup: 153.
• Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 159.
• CT Sun average points vs. ATL Dream last 10 games: 84.
• ATL Dream average points vs. CT Sun last 10 games: 75.
• Sun average points last 10 games: 85.
• Dream average points last 10 games: 87.
• CT Sun PPG: 83.8 (5th)
• ATL Dream PPG: 85.7 (3rd)
• CT Sun Defensive Rating: 98.7 (2nd)
• ATL Dream Defensive Rating: 102.9 (7th)

Saturday showdown.

Sun at Dream
1 PM ET
Gateway Center Arena
@espn pic.twitter.com/DQwY1wgAoR

— Connecticut Sun (@ConnecticutSun) July 22, 2023

Media sourced from the Connecticut Sun official Twitter.

The Atlanta Dream are 12-9 and have the 5th best record in the WNBA. In their loss against the Connecticut Sun, Rhyne Howard led the way with 22 points and 3 steals. In addition, Allisha Gray had 18 points, 6 rebounds, 1 block, and Nia Coffey with 13 points and 13 rebounds.

Ironically, the last time the Connecticut Sun and Atlanta Dream matched up was two days ago. Yes, Connecticut won 2 out of 3 matchups, and the over hit 2 times as well. However, I would like to provide you with enough information that the under should hit today. The current total for this game is 168.5, which is on the higher side. In their first matchup, the over hit, however, the game totaled 166 points. The second matchup hit the over with 180, HOWEVER, that game went into overtime. Connecticut has one of the best defenses in the WNBA, and unless this game goes into overtime, I don't like the over. Furthermore, their average point totals in their last 10 matchups is 159 points.

The Dallas Wings are 12-9 and have the 4th best record in the WNBA. In fact, Dallas is coming off a four-game win streak, in which they won the spread 3 out of the 4 games. The Wins are 3rd in total offensive rating (106.4), 1st in offensive rebounds (11.9), and 4th in points per game (85.4). In their impressive win against the New York Liberty, the Wings put 98 total points. All-Star Satou Sabally, Arike Ogunbowale, along with Teaira McCowan and Natasha Howard. In their last game against the Sparks, all four players had points in double figures, and McCowan had a double-double, with 15 points and 12 rebounds. Here are some additional betting stats:

Betting Stats:

• The Dallas Wings are 4-0 in their last 4 games.
• Los Angeles Sparks are 0-7 in their last 7 games.
• The Dallas Wings are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
• The Sparks are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
• Dallas Overall ATS Record: 10-10-1
• Dallas Overall O/U Record: 9-12-0
• LA Overall ATS Record: 7-12-2
• LA Overall O/U Record: 10-11-0
• The Wings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
• The Sparks are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
• The Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
• The Sparks are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
• The Wings O/U is 3-7 in the last 10 games.
• The Sparks O/U is 5-5 in the last 10 games.
• Dallas ATS won last 10 games: New York (+7.5), Minnesota (-2.5), Las Vegas (+9.5), Las Vegas (+12), Washington (-6.5), Phoenix (-4), Atlanta (-3.5).
• LA ATS won last 10 games: Dallas (+3), Dallas (+3).

Head-to-head stats: Sparks vs. Wings

• The LA Sparks are 3-0 ATS vs. the Dallas Wings this season.
• The LA Sparks are 3-0 against the Dallas Wings this season.
• In 3 Games vs the Wings, the Sparks won spreads: +3, +3, +5.5.
• Game Points (AVG) last 10 matchups: 166
• Sparks average points vs. Wings last 10 games: 81.
• Wings average points vs. Sparks last 10 games: 84.
• Sparks average points last 10 games: 75.
• Wings average points last 10 games: 85.

WAKE UP, IT’S GAME DAY AT THE PARK

7 PM
The Park
vs. @la_sparks
First 2,000 receive an @Arike_O bobblehead
https://t.co/UnJkfAexLf
@BallySportsSW Extra or Twitter@TexasLifeInsCo | #VoltUp pic.twitter.com/RSYHNJlMOI

— Dallas Wings (@DallasWings) July 22, 2023

*Media sourced from the Official Dallas Wings Twitter*

The Los Angeles Sparks are 7-14, and are riding a 7-game losing streak, in which they are 0-6-1 ATS. LA has been hit with injuries, and rank 10th in points per game (78.1), 11th in rebounds (32.7), and 10th in offensive efficiency (98). The Sparks last game against the Minnesota Lynx was a push, in which the Lynx were initially favored by -3. All-Star Nneka Ogwumike had her usual game, with 19 points, 9 rebounds, and 3 steals. Jordin Canada added 12 points, 7 rebounds, and 1 block, while Layshia Clarendon added 11 points.

Oddly enough the Sparks only have 7 wins, and 3 of them have come against the Dallas Wings. In fact, LA covered the spread in all three games. Whether this was pure luck, or the Sparks completely figured out the Wings gameplan, I am not sticking with the LA to cover for the fourth straight game. LA is on a 7-game skid and hasn't covered any spread since June 25th. In addition, Dallas is on a four-game win streak, and covered the spread against the the Aces (twice), and the Liberty, who are the top two teams in the league. It's important to note, Dallas covered both a +9.5 and +12 spread against the top team, the Aces.

Stay tuned for more WNBA and betting related articles. Click here for more WNBA betting strategies.

Sara Jane is a full-time Sportswriter at BallisLife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut with her Cat and Dog. She is a Boston Celtics, Boston Bruins, New York Yankees, and New York Giants fan. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics.

NATIONAL PROBLEM GAMBLING HELPLINE
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The National Council on Problem Gambling operates the National Problem Gambling Helpline Network. The network is a single national access point to local resources for those seeking help for a gambling problem. The network consists of 28 contact centers that provide resources and referrals for all 50 states and US territories. Help is available 24/7 and is 100% confidential.

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Sara Jane Gamelli

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There is one WNBA game on the slate today, the New York Liberty at the Washington Mystics.  The Mystics are the underdogs (+9.5), and the Liberty are the one seed in the Eastern Conference.  Furthermore, New York is coming off a 99-88 loss against the Dallas Wings, and the Mystics dropped their last game against the Fever, 82-76. 

If you are betting and plan to watch the game, the matchup will be held at 7 PM EST, located at Entertainment & Sports Arena, located in Washington, DC.  Also, the game will air on ION.  In this article, I will break down the odds, stats, and my predictions, along with analysis.  If you are looking for the best betting odds, stats and analysis, here is information to know.

New York Liberty Stats & Trends

• Record: 14-5, 7-2 Away
• Record ATS: 8-11-0
• ATS last 10: 4-10
• O/U Record: 12-7-0
• O/U last 10: 7-3
• Last 4 games ATS: 0-4
• Last 2 O/U: 2-0
• Last 10 vs. East: 4-0
• Last 10 vs. West: 4-2
  

Washington Mystics Stats & Trends

• Record: 11-9, 7-3 Home
• Record ATS: 9-11-0
• ATS last 10: 6-4
• O/U Record: 7-12-1
• O/U last 10: 6-5
• Last 6 games ATS: 2-4
• Last 4 O/U: 3-1
• Last 10 vs. East: 4-4
• Last 10 vs. West: 1-1

Head-to-Head Stats

• Game 1: Mystics 80- Liberty 64 (Washington +2)
• Game 2: Liberty 89- Mystics 88 (Mystics +7.5)
• Mystics are 2-0 ATS vs. the Liberty this season.
• O/U Last 10: 3-10
• Washington ATS last 5: 3-2
• New York ATS last 5: 2-3
  
  

Injuries

New York Liberty

Han XU, Center: OUT (Suspended)
Stefanie Dolson, Center: OUT (Ankle)

Washington Mystics

Shakira Austin, Center: OUT (Hip)
Elena Delle Donne, Forward: OUT (Ankle)
Ariel Atkins, Guard: OUT (Ankle)
Kristi Toliver, Guard: OUT (Foot)

New York Liberty guard, Sabrina Ionescu, is one of the hottest names currently in the WNBA. Ionescu made an NBA and WNBA record with 37 three-pointers over the All-Star break and hasn't slowed down since. In her first game back against the Dallas Wings, Ionescu shot 45 percent from the three-point with 22 points in 31 minutes. Additionally, Ionescu is averaging 16.7 points, 31.3 minutes, ranks 3rd in three-point attempts (7.8), and 2nd in three-pointers made per game (3.5). Along with those stats, Sabrina ranks third in the NBA in three-point percentage (44.7), and 16th in field goal attempts (12.8 per game). It's important to note, Ionescu plays nearly 31 minutes a game, which is 18th in the league, and is averaging a career-high 44.7 three-point percentage this season.

Sabrina Ionescu stats

Although inconsistent in the month of June, Sabrina Ionescu scored over 17.6 points in four straight games, in which her shot volume has been consistent. In the last four games, Ionescu averaged a total of 23.5 points, which includes the All-Star game. In the last three, Sabrina scored 34 points against the Indiana Fever, 22 against the Dallas Wings, and 20 against the Seattle Storm. Additionally, her average field goal attempts per game is 15 shots per game and shot 48.5 percent from the three.

I like this prop for one of two reasons, Ionescu averaged 19.5 field goal attempts and averaged 33.5 points in two games against Washington this year. In those two games, Sabrina attempted 21 total three-pointers, and 36 minutes. Furthermore, Ionescu had 10 total free-throw attempts, and shot 40 percent from the three in their two matchups. Sabrina Ionescu had a series high 31 points in game 2, and I fully expect her to hit these props with high shot volume, and minutes played.

Prediction

Sabrina Ionescu in an elite shooter with great range. In her second game against the Mystics, her 7 three-point attempts helped the Liberty secure an 89-88 win. I expect her to continue her hot streak and use both drag and off both screens to get open. Give me Sabrina Ionescu OVER 17.5 points.

The New York Liberty are favored by the books to win this game; however, it comes with a price. -475 is not a great value if you wish to wager on the Liberty. Wagering 4-5 times your potential profit is high risk, especially since the series is split 1-1. I am leaning towards the New York Liberty, since Washington is missing both Elene Delle Donne and Ariel Atkins with injuries. I would avoid the money line at all costs on the Liberty side.

I first saw the line when it was at -7.5, in which it most recently jumped to New York -9.5. Both of these teams are above .500, in which Washington and New York both split the series 1-1. It's important to point out that the Mystics covered the spread in both games, specifically the +7.5 spread in Game 2 against the Liberty. Unfortunately, the Mystics are without two of their star players, Elene Delle Donne and Atkins. Without Donne, the Mystics are missing a player who averages 18 points a game, and 6 rebounds at 6 foot 5. It will be Washingtons third straight game without Donne, however, Tianna Hawkins has stepped up nicely. In fact, forward Tianna Hawkins is averaging 32 minutes, 16.7 points, and 6 rebounds in the last three games. In addition, Hawkins is averaging 64 percent from the three-point, and 9.6 shot attempts in those games.

Washington vs. Liberty

Overall, the New York Liberty are 0-2 ATS vs. Washington, and 0-4 in their last four games. It's important to note New York failed to cover a 15.5 spread against Seattle, 15 against Phoenix, and 10.5 against Indiana. All three of those teams are sub .500 teams, and the Liberty covered the spread just two times in the last 7 games.

Prediction

The Mystics have a different pattern vs. the spread as of recent. Washington covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, and 2 of their last four games. Going back to last season, the Mystics covered the spread three times in the last five games against the Liberty. Both of these teams are ranked 3rd and 4th defensively, and I expect Washington the keep things close, even with Atkins and Donne out. I expect Skyes, Cloud, and Hawkins to step up. Give me Washington to cover the spread +9.5

This is one of my favorite prop bets for the night. Guard Natasha Cloud is averaging 11.4 points this season and is coming off a 19-point performance in Washingtons loss against Indiana. Although Cloud shot underwhelming from everywhere on the court, she had 18 shot attempts and played 34 minutes.

In two games against Washington this season, Cloud averaged 18.5 points per game, 6 free-throw attempts, 13 field goal attempts, and 18 percent from the three-point. With Atkins and Donne out, it will give Clout both the minutes and shot volume. Although Cloud hasn't shot well from the three against New York, she's excellent at getting to the basket, especially in pick and roll situations. I also wanted to mention the New York Liberty allow opponents to shoot 35.1 percent beyond the arc, and Cloud will get a good amount of shot volume against Courtney Vandersloot and Sabrina Ionescu.

Prediction

Speaking of shot volume, Natasha Clouds attempted a season high 18 shots last game, and 11 against the Dallas Wings. Cloud is also shooting 100 percent from the free-throw line in the month of July. Give me Natasha Cloud over 12.5 points scored tonight.

Stay tuned for more WNBA and betting related articles. Click here for more WNBA betting strategies.

Sara Jane is a full-time Sportswriter at BallisLife, and Sports Content Creator on Twitch. She has a focus on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane currently resides in Connecticut with her Cat and Dog. She is a Boston Celtics, Boston Bruins, New York Yankees, and New York Giants fan. SJ has her undergraduate degree from the University of Connecticut in Economics.

NATIONAL PROBLEM GAMBLING HELPLINE
1-800-522-4700

The National Council on Problem Gambling operates the National Problem Gambling Helpline Network. The network is a single national access point to local resources for those seeking help for a gambling problem. The network consists of 28 contact centers that provide resources and referrals for all 50 states and US territories. Help is available 24/7 and is 100% confidential.

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